Race 4C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack McGraw 12.0% 12.2% 11.9% 10.3% 9.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 5.3% 3.9% 2.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Malcolm Lamphere 16.5% 16.1% 11.9% 12.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.5% 4.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Peter Lynn 11.1% 11.7% 10.5% 10.0% 9.2% 8.1% 9.0% 8.6% 7.0% 5.6% 4.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
Michael Sabourin 4.3% 4.1% 7.6% 5.8% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.1% 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 11.0% 8.7% 5.1%
Peter Girard 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 3.8% 5.9% 7.0% 4.9% 6.5% 7.5% 9.0% 9.1% 10.7% 11.6% 12.7%
Jackson McCoy 13.9% 12.8% 13.0% 11.1% 10.1% 8.9% 7.4% 6.1% 5.6% 4.5% 3.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Ed Lebens 4.4% 5.3% 5.5% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.7% 6.9% 8.8% 10.6% 9.1% 8.1% 9.4% 10.2%
Alexander Bowen 5.1% 5.6% 5.5% 6.9% 6.1% 6.4% 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.3% 9.1% 6.5%
Chester Jacobs 7.8% 6.1% 7.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.9% 8.0% 10.4% 7.8% 7.9% 6.8% 5.2% 4.4% 1.8%
Paul Didham 6.9% 7.4% 5.5% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 8.4% 9.0% 7.9% 8.8% 7.7% 5.6% 4.7% 2.9%
Charles Hicks 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.5% 8.4% 7.3% 10.2% 10.6% 13.1% 12.3%
Bayard Lalor 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 2.5% 2.7% 5.3% 4.9% 6.8% 8.9% 12.6% 14.7% 29.4%
Dylan Farrell 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 10.5% 8.8% 9.1% 6.6% 7.3% 6.5% 5.0% 3.3%
Matteo Alampi 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.7% 5.5% 7.1% 10.0% 12.7% 14.5% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.