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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+4.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+4.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+1.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.89+4.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+3.15vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.52-0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.04vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.10-1.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.61-1.16vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-6.47vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.22-2.15vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.38-6.84vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.80-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University3.250.2%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.85Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Paul Didham | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Peter Girard | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Chester Jacobs | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 12.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 29.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.