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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Malcolm Lamphere 16.2% 14.4% 14.3% 12.2% 9.7% 8.3% 6.9% 4.5% 5.1% 3.3% 2.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Peter Lynn 12.3% 12.3% 10.0% 10.2% 9.2% 10.7% 8.6% 8.2% 5.5% 5.0% 4.2% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Jack McGraw 11.6% 12.3% 11.1% 10.4% 10.6% 8.5% 9.1% 7.1% 6.0% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Charles Hicks 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 5.6% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.3% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 11.6% 12.7% 11.4%
Jackson McCoy 11.2% 14.1% 13.6% 12.0% 8.7% 8.4% 10.0% 6.5% 5.8% 3.7% 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Chester Jacobs 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.9% 8.2% 6.4% 7.8% 6.1% 4.7% 2.5%
Paul Didham 8.4% 8.2% 7.8% 7.7% 8.9% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 7.9% 8.8% 5.7% 5.5% 4.4% 1.9%
Michael Sabourin 5.7% 5.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.8% 7.5% 8.4% 9.5% 9.2% 7.6% 8.9% 6.9%
Ed Lebens 4.7% 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 5.4% 9.0% 8.6% 10.0% 9.4% 11.3% 10.5% 9.5%
Peter Girard 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.4% 9.7% 8.4% 11.8% 12.1% 11.3%
Dylan Farrell 6.5% 6.1% 7.3% 7.5% 6.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.9% 8.6% 8.3% 7.3% 7.4% 5.0% 3.8%
Alexander Bowen 4.4% 4.4% 5.4% 6.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 7.8%
Bayard Lalor 2.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 2.5% 4.6% 5.9% 6.2% 9.9% 9.4% 15.5% 29.8%
Matteo Alampi 3.1% 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.4% 5.4% 6.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.5% 11.4% 12.7% 14.5% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.