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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+3.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+3.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.96+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.80+5.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-0.96vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.52-0.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-1.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10-0.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.89-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83-1.88vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.38-4.69vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.85vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22-3.29vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.61-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Yale University3.250.2%1st Place
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5.37Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.36Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.71Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Charles Hicks | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Paul Didham | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Ed Lebens | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Peter Girard | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 29.8% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.