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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+4.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+3.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.52+3.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+3.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.25-0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.10+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83+1.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.61+1.65vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.22+1.83vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.38-2.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.80-3.84vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.89-5.24vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.14-10.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.23Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.1%1st Place
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4.71Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Paul Didham | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Peter Girard | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 18.4% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 28.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% |
| Charles Hicks | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
| Ed Lebens | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.