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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+7.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+5.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+1.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47+3.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+0.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.90-0.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.22+3.59vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.52-2.21vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.80-2.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.61-3.23vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.89-5.27vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.14-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.52Yale University3.250.2%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.1%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.59Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sabourin | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Paul Didham | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 28.3% |
| Chester Jacobs | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| Peter Girard | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% |
| Charles Hicks | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.9% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 17.3% |
| Ed Lebens | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.