Race 10C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Lynn 11.8% 10.7% 11.4% 11.7% 9.0% 9.8% 7.5% 9.2% 7.0% 5.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.6% 14.7% 13.9% 12.8% 10.0% 10.1% 6.9% 6.2% 3.8% 2.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Jackson McCoy 12.6% 15.4% 13.1% 10.1% 10.8% 10.5% 9.4% 4.9% 5.7% 4.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3%
Dylan Farrell 6.4% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 7.3% 10.5% 7.9% 9.4% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 7.8% 3.7%
Chester Jacobs 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 7.2% 9.2% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 5.1% 2.5%
Ed Lebens 5.1% 3.6% 5.8% 3.5% 6.1% 7.1% 5.9% 7.4% 10.1% 11.0% 10.3% 13.5% 10.6%
Alexander Bowen 5.9% 5.6% 7.4% 5.8% 5.6% 6.8% 7.4% 8.6% 10.0% 9.1% 12.4% 8.9% 6.5%
Jack McGraw 12.6% 12.3% 10.3% 10.9% 10.9% 10.6% 8.9% 8.3% 5.6% 4.0% 2.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Paul Didham 7.7% 7.3% 7.1% 8.2% 10.6% 6.8% 8.8% 9.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.3% 6.3% 3.6%
Michael Sabourin 5.7% 5.7% 4.6% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.1% 10.8% 8.3%
Charles Hicks 3.4% 3.1% 5.4% 6.3% 5.5% 5.0% 8.1% 8.4% 7.8% 12.2% 9.5% 13.1% 12.2%
Peter Girard 3.0% 5.1% 3.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.2% 7.4% 6.7% 9.1% 8.9% 13.7% 13.8% 14.1%
Bayard Lalor 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.9% 1.9% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.6% 11.2% 14.5% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.