Race 11C

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chester Jacobs 7.6% 6.7% 8.9% 9.2% 10.4% 6.6% 8.9% 10.1% 8.5% 8.9% 6.1% 5.9% 2.2%
Alexander Bowen 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.2% 9.0% 8.5% 10.4% 9.8% 10.5% 10.0% 7.1%
Jack McGraw 10.5% 12.3% 11.8% 11.6% 9.2% 9.5% 9.8% 8.2% 6.6% 3.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
Peter Lynn 12.3% 10.6% 11.0% 11.7% 8.8% 10.2% 7.6% 8.4% 7.4% 5.4% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Malcolm Lamphere 17.5% 14.5% 13.3% 11.5% 10.0% 11.0% 6.6% 5.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Michael Sabourin 5.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.3% 7.5% 9.3% 10.3% 9.2% 9.9% 9.9% 7.6%
Jackson McCoy 15.5% 13.9% 11.6% 11.1% 10.2% 11.2% 7.6% 5.9% 5.5% 4.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Ed Lebens 3.7% 5.3% 4.7% 5.5% 5.2% 6.7% 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 9.8% 14.3% 11.8% 10.5%
Charles Hicks 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 5.1% 6.4% 6.6% 8.2% 10.9% 11.6% 14.0% 14.9%
Dylan Farrell 7.0% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 9.4% 8.0% 8.9% 7.8% 9.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.8% 4.7%
Paul Didham 7.3% 8.7% 8.3% 8.8% 8.4% 9.6% 9.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.3% 5.8% 4.8% 3.1%
Bayard Lalor 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.8% 3.3% 4.2% 5.8% 5.3% 7.0% 10.2% 16.5% 35.6%
Peter Girard 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 3.6% 6.7% 6.3% 6.4% 7.1% 8.4% 11.0% 12.8% 13.9% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.