Race 12C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack McGraw 12.4% 11.1% 12.0% 10.3% 11.3% 9.2% 8.7% 8.1% 6.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 15.6% 15.8% 12.8% 13.2% 10.1% 9.7% 7.1% 5.5% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5%
Michael Sabourin 4.1% 4.4% 5.3% 7.4% 6.4% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 11.9% 11.2% 8.9% 7.6%
Alexander Bowen 4.4% 5.6% 5.8% 5.4% 7.5% 7.8% 8.5% 7.7% 8.9% 9.5% 11.5% 10.2% 7.2%
Peter Lynn 11.9% 12.9% 10.5% 11.1% 8.2% 9.3% 9.5% 8.1% 6.5% 5.2% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
Chester Jacobs 8.4% 7.8% 7.8% 8.3% 10.0% 9.0% 9.6% 8.1% 8.0% 7.4% 7.4% 6.0% 2.2%
Ed Lebens 5.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.6% 5.6% 5.3% 6.5% 7.6% 10.1% 9.1% 11.1% 14.0% 10.1%
Paul Didham 7.6% 7.2% 7.6% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 10.2% 10.2% 8.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.5%
Peter Girard 4.2% 3.8% 3.4% 4.7% 5.3% 6.6% 6.4% 8.0% 9.1% 9.8% 10.5% 14.7% 13.5%
Jackson McCoy 15.8% 12.6% 14.9% 11.1% 9.2% 8.9% 7.7% 6.2% 5.1% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Dylan Farrell 5.9% 7.9% 8.7% 7.8% 9.5% 7.5% 9.9% 9.9% 8.3% 8.1% 7.3% 5.9% 3.3%
Charles Hicks 2.8% 4.3% 4.1% 3.7% 6.2% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 10.0% 12.3% 14.4% 15.2%
Bayard Lalor 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 1.8% 4.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.1% 8.0% 10.5% 15.2% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.