Race 1A

jesuit-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brad Seferian 14.1% 15.7% 15.8% 12.8% 10.2% 11.1% 9.3% 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Keller 9.2% 11.4% 12.5% 10.5% 11.7% 12.6% 10.7% 8.1% 6.6% 3.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Jack Gerli 24.6% 19.8% 18.0% 12.6% 10.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan DiMarchi 18.0% 17.0% 15.2% 14.3% 11.9% 9.5% 7.0% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 1.8% 1.4% 3.5% 3.7% 5.5% 5.1% 6.0% 8.5% 11.1% 14.4% 16.3% 14.2% 7.1% 1.4%
Adam DeVita 5.9% 4.9% 5.3% 8.6% 9.6% 9.8% 11.6% 13.0% 9.9% 10.1% 7.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 5.3% 5.6% 7.3% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.8% 13.3% 12.1% 10.5% 7.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Colin Richards 8.5% 9.5% 10.1% 9.0% 11.0% 9.7% 12.6% 10.8% 8.5% 5.8% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.4% 12.6% 15.5% 15.8% 14.3% 9.7% 1.5%
David Tampellini 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 4.1% 7.0% 12.2% 18.8% 33.5% 13.6%
Noah Brayer 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 7.5% 9.4% 11.1% 15.0% 15.5% 11.6% 6.1% 0.6%
Vincent Storino 6.0% 7.2% 6.0% 11.2% 9.9% 10.6% 11.0% 13.3% 10.8% 6.5% 3.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Peter Sander 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 7.2% 11.3% 24.9% 27.8% 9.0%
Jesse Whipple 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 6.8% 12.2% 73.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.