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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.05+4.55vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+1.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+0.79vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.60+0.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.20+0.38vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65+0.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.95vs Predicted
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8Amherst College0.89+0.54vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-1.95vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.75-0.91vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64-1.69vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.50vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.95-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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3.15Georgetown University3.110.3%1st Place
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3.79Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.33Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.77Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.54Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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7.05Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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9.09Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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9.31Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.5Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.33U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Richards | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 26.0% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 18.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 13.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 20.3% | 32.8% | 12.9% |
| Peter Sander | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 28.4% | 9.5% |
| Jesse Whipple | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 14.4% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.