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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+5.73vs Predicted
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2Boston University4.07+6.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+6.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+4.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.50+6.48vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.66vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+2.93vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92+1.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.00-0.24vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.88-0.69vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.25+1.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.57vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.04-0.07vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.66-3.46vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-3.57vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.62-5.53vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.66-6.57vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.78-4.82vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.62-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.67Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.52Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.48Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.32Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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12.93Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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11.43Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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14.18Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nick Dugdale | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Alex Cook | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Blagden | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
| Michael Marshall | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Robert Savoie | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 24.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.