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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+4.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.60+2.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.11+0.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82-0.16vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.52+2.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+0.38vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05-2.36vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-2.26vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.64-0.66vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.75-1.98vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.48vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.95-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.16Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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3.19Georgetown University3.110.3%1st Place
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3.84Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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7.11Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.38Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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6.74Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.34Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.02Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.52Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.35U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 25.4% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 16.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Storino | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| David Tampellini | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 33.0% | 13.1% |
| Peter Sander | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 29.0% | 9.4% |
| Jesse Whipple | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 15.0% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.