Race 8A

jesuit-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Gerli 25.3% 19.9% 17.0% 12.3% 10.6% 5.6% 4.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Storino 6.4% 7.8% 9.7% 7.0% 9.5% 12.8% 10.9% 11.0% 11.1% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Brad Seferian 14.8% 15.1% 12.4% 14.3% 12.9% 8.7% 8.3% 6.8% 5.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 1.4% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 7.1% 8.6% 11.7% 14.6% 16.3% 14.2% 6.3% 1.0%
Lillian Vincens 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 3.2% 5.8% 5.7% 7.9% 10.8% 13.5% 17.0% 16.1% 8.3% 1.8%
Adam DeVita 5.9% 5.0% 6.1% 7.2% 9.5% 10.2% 12.8% 11.3% 10.1% 9.4% 7.2% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Colin Richards 9.4% 10.3% 10.7% 9.8% 11.6% 10.7% 11.0% 10.8% 7.4% 4.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 5.6% 5.2% 6.0% 8.6% 6.7% 10.4% 9.8% 12.2% 10.6% 10.5% 8.4% 4.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Dylan DiMarchi 17.2% 17.8% 15.4% 14.7% 12.1% 7.5% 7.1% 4.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Keller 9.3% 9.5% 10.9% 12.6% 12.7% 12.3% 10.1% 8.3% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
David Tampellini 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.9% 7.5% 11.1% 18.0% 36.2% 12.1%
Noah Brayer 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 4.2% 4.7% 6.5% 7.8% 9.0% 12.9% 16.8% 14.1% 10.3% 5.2% 1.1%
Jesse Whipple 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 3.6% 5.3% 11.3% 74.8%
Peter Sander 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 8.7% 12.1% 21.8% 29.6% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.