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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+2.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+2.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.11-0.85vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60-0.79vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.52+0.86vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75+1.47vs Predicted
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8Amherst College0.89+0.34vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.47+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05-4.60vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.35vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.97vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.64-4.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.95-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.15Georgetown University3.110.3%1st Place
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4.21Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.86Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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8.47Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.34Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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9.45Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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11.35Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.92Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 19.5% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 25.5% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Colin Richards | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 30.3% | 13.2% |
| Peter Sander | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 27.6% | 9.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Jesse Whipple | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 13.8% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.