Race 11A

jesuit-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Keller 9.9% 11.6% 12.2% 11.5% 11.4% 12.9% 11.4% 7.5% 5.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Dylan DiMarchi 19.8% 18.9% 16.0% 15.0% 11.8% 8.9% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Storino 7.0% 7.2% 9.2% 8.2% 11.4% 11.6% 12.3% 12.3% 9.8% 5.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Gerli 24.2% 22.3% 15.5% 13.4% 10.8% 7.5% 3.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 12.7% 13.8% 16.8% 16.1% 12.8% 8.4% 8.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 2.1% 1.6% 2.6% 3.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 9.4% 13.2% 14.7% 14.3% 13.6% 8.2% 1.4%
Colin Richards 10.1% 10.2% 10.5% 10.1% 13.2% 13.4% 10.9% 9.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 5.4% 5.3% 8.3% 7.8% 7.4% 10.4% 13.7% 11.4% 10.6% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Houchois 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 4.4% 6.2% 7.6% 11.8% 14.8% 16.5% 14.5% 9.5% 2.6%
Noah Brayer 2.6% 2.6% 2.1% 4.6% 5.3% 7.1% 9.9% 12.2% 11.4% 13.3% 14.4% 9.2% 4.6% 0.7%
Peter Sander 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 4.2% 6.4% 8.7% 13.3% 21.0% 26.1% 10.2%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% 4.7% 4.6% 5.9% 8.0% 10.9% 12.5% 14.8% 12.6% 11.8% 6.3% 1.1%
David Tampellini 1.2% 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 3.4% 5.2% 9.7% 10.9% 17.6% 31.1% 11.8%
Jesse Whipple 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 6.0% 12.9% 72.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.