Race 12A

jesuit-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Keller 9.3% 11.9% 12.4% 12.9% 10.9% 12.8% 11.4% 7.4% 5.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 17.5% 14.5% 15.6% 14.5% 13.2% 10.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Storino 6.4% 8.3% 8.4% 10.0% 9.4% 11.6% 13.6% 11.2% 10.4% 6.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Jack Gerli 24.6% 21.9% 16.2% 12.2% 11.8% 7.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan DiMarchi 15.5% 18.7% 17.7% 15.0% 11.9% 7.8% 7.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 5.5% 7.5% 12.2% 10.5% 15.1% 15.7% 10.0% 6.2% 1.5%
Noah Brayer 2.7% 3.3% 4.1% 5.0% 6.4% 8.3% 7.2% 11.4% 11.9% 13.5% 13.9% 8.7% 2.8% 0.8%
Colin Richards 10.2% 9.1% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 12.3% 11.7% 9.2% 7.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 5.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.8% 9.4% 10.9% 13.4% 11.5% 12.2% 8.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.4% 10.1% 10.1% 13.4% 17.6% 14.2% 10.7% 2.7%
Peter Sander 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 0.9% 1.9% 2.5% 4.8% 6.8% 8.3% 11.2% 21.9% 26.7% 10.7%
David Tampellini 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 4.8% 9.3% 11.5% 20.2% 30.0% 11.9%
Lillian Vincens 2.6% 1.8% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 4.8% 7.8% 8.3% 15.2% 13.7% 14.7% 12.3% 6.9% 1.4%
Jesse Whipple 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 6.5% 14.6% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.