Race 1B

jesuit-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christine Klingler 44.4% 24.8% 15.2% 9.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 15.1% 19.0% 18.5% 17.7% 14.6% 9.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Macey McCann 10.6% 14.7% 16.4% 15.0% 16.4% 13.7% 8.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 14.0% 18.1% 20.7% 18.1% 13.6% 7.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 6.1% 10.7% 13.0% 16.0% 19.3% 14.9% 10.9% 5.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Dill 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.7% 8.4% 11.2% 18.2% 17.6% 16.5% 10.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryan Wood 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.8% 5.5% 7.4% 12.4% 15.5% 21.9% 14.8% 9.6% 3.1% 0.4%
Calvin Tong 2.6% 5.0% 4.4% 6.4% 10.0% 14.1% 16.8% 16.4% 12.5% 7.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 3.3% 3.8% 4.7% 7.6% 9.0% 15.9% 19.2% 17.0% 10.7% 5.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Owen 1.2% 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 4.5% 8.9% 13.2% 20.1% 19.0% 15.0% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Gaura Mudgal 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 3.4% 7.5% 9.2% 19.2% 25.8% 24.2% 4.4%
Lisa Sheridan 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.4% 5.0% 9.5% 21.0% 38.2% 17.3%
Birgitta Anderson 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.3% 3.6% 5.5% 13.8% 73.6%
Molly Gallagher 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 8.0% 12.2% 21.4% 24.1% 18.0% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.