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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.47vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+6.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+6.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+3.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.62+3.64vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.50+3.41vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92+0.06vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40+1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-4.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.18vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-3.41vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.04-0.70vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.25-3.91vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.78-2.90vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston4.00-9.11vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.66-8.69vs Predicted
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20Boston University4.07-11.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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11.41Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.06Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.55Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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13.3Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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12.09Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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14.1Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston4.000.0%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| William Haeger | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Alex Cook | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Tucker Blagden | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% |
| Robert Savoie | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 25.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael Marshall | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.