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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+2.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.40+0.53vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University0.00+4.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-2.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57+3.25vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.04-2.97vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80-1.59vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.68-2.19vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.40-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+0.02vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.94vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-2.37-0.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.76-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.53Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
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8.12Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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2.15Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.41Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.81Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.92Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.06SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.03Princeton University-2.370.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Military Academy-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 14.0% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 15.5% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 40.0% | 28.1% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Macey McCann | 12.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 20.9% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 3.8% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 24.2% | 20.9% | 4.8% |
| Lisa Sheridan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 20.3% | 38.9% | 15.5% |
| Birgitta Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 13.3% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.