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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+1.12vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.40+1.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+0.62vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.04+0.15vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.68+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77-1.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57+2.02vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.40+0.82vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.44vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.00-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-0.01vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.92vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-2.37-0.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.76-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.42Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.84Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.82Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.56Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.18Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.03Princeton University-2.370.0%1st Place
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13.47U. S. Military Academy-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 43.2% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 15.2% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 13.7% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 9.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 26.1% | 20.5% | 3.8% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 24.6% | 21.2% | 4.9% |
| Lisa Sheridan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 39.3% | 15.7% |
| Birgitta Anderson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.