Race 4B

jesuit-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Shea 14.0% 19.5% 19.2% 15.2% 13.7% 11.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 16.2% 19.2% 19.6% 18.2% 13.0% 8.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Macey McCann 11.7% 12.7% 17.1% 14.8% 17.7% 12.8% 8.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christine Klingler 43.0% 24.9% 14.8% 11.2% 4.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 5.8% 9.7% 12.8% 16.7% 17.7% 17.0% 11.3% 5.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Wood 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 4.3% 8.4% 9.3% 17.6% 22.1% 16.2% 10.6% 3.4% 0.8%
William Sunkler 3.7% 4.5% 6.7% 7.7% 10.7% 13.4% 19.9% 16.0% 9.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mitchell Owen 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 3.3% 4.2% 5.7% 8.1% 13.5% 16.9% 17.3% 15.6% 9.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Calvin Tong 2.3% 3.9% 3.7% 7.0% 8.7% 13.9% 18.7% 19.2% 13.0% 6.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Dill 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 2.7% 4.4% 7.1% 12.5% 16.9% 20.9% 17.3% 7.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Molly Gallagher 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.3% 4.9% 7.4% 10.1% 21.5% 25.7% 19.7% 3.8%
Gaura Mudgal 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 2.3% 2.0% 4.8% 5.7% 13.0% 19.4% 24.9% 20.9% 4.8%
Lisa Sheridan 0.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 2.8% 2.7% 5.6% 11.4% 19.0% 39.3% 15.6%
Birgitta Anderson 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 3.7% 5.1% 13.3% 74.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.