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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+2.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+1.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38-0.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.04+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77-0.43vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80+0.33vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.00+0.61vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.43+0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57-0.01vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.40-1.31vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.01vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-2.37+0.02vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-2.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.76-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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2.07Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
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4.02Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.33Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.61Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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8.59Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.69Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.99SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.02Princeton University-2.370.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Military Academy-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 14.8% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 15.4% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 44.2% | 25.3% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 24.8% | 21.7% | 5.2% |
| Lisa Sheridan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 37.8% | 15.6% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 3.6% |
| Birgitta Anderson | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.