← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.77+3.44vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.40+1.33vs Predicted
-
3Sacred Heart University0.00+4.72vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.32-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-0.40+3.69vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.80+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.38-4.95vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.04-4.00vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University-0.43-0.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+0.87vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.00vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-2.37+0.04vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy-3.76+0.39vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.44University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
-
3.33Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
-
7.72Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
-
3.61Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.69Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.34Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
2.05Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
-
4.0Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.71Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
-
11.0SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
-
12.04Princeton University-2.370.0%1st Place
-
13.39U. S. Military Academy-3.760.0%1st Place
-
8.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 16.7% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 12.9% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 43.3% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 11.8% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 4.7% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 25.9% | 22.3% | 4.5% |
| Lisa Sheridan | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 36.2% | 17.2% |
| Birgitta Anderson | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 14.9% | 72.3% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.