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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tucker Hersam 16.0% 19.3% 18.8% 18.2% 14.3% 7.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 7.4% 13.0% 14.0% 16.3% 19.5% 14.8% 9.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 15.2% 17.2% 19.0% 17.5% 16.8% 9.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Macey McCann 10.4% 13.7% 16.4% 18.1% 18.6% 13.9% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christine Klingler 42.9% 26.0% 17.0% 9.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Wood 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 3.1% 5.7% 9.6% 12.7% 16.2% 18.3% 15.5% 9.7% 3.9% 0.6%
William Sunkler 3.4% 4.7% 6.6% 8.9% 10.0% 19.9% 18.1% 14.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Gallagher 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 18.6% 23.6% 17.6% 5.3%
Mitchell Owen 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 5.6% 11.5% 15.4% 19.2% 16.7% 12.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Andrew Dill 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 3.7% 5.1% 9.0% 16.9% 18.9% 16.8% 14.3% 7.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 6.8% 11.4% 15.2% 16.5% 18.3% 12.6% 8.3% 2.0% 0.0%
Lisa Sheridan 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 5.4% 11.0% 19.2% 39.3% 15.4%
Gaura Mudgal 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 5.1% 8.3% 11.1% 18.4% 24.9% 19.9% 4.2%
Birgitta Anderson 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.9% 5.7% 13.5% 74.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.