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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+2.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+0.52vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.04+0.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-2.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57+3.08vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+2.74vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.40-0.37vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.00-2.11vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.43-2.30vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-2.37+0.03vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-2.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.76-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.02Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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2.09Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.12Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.63Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.89Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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8.7Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.03Princeton University-2.370.0%1st Place
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10.88SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.44U. S. Military Academy-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 16.0% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 7.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 15.2% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 42.9% | 26.0% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| William Sunkler | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 5.3% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lisa Sheridan | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 39.3% | 15.4% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 4.2% |
| Birgitta Anderson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 13.5% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.