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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+2.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.77+1.46vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.04+0.03vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.40-1.51vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80+0.34vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.00+0.61vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.40+0.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.00vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+0.86vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.43-2.28vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-1.04vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-2.37-1.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-3.76-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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2.04Yale University3.380.5%1st Place
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4.46University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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3.49Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.34Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.61Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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8.56Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.72Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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11.95Princeton University-2.370.0%1st Place
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13.46U. S. Military Academy-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 15.0% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 45.9% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 13.6% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Wood | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 4.6% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 5.1% |
| Lisa Sheridan | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 39.0% | 15.0% |
| Birgitta Anderson | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.