← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.38+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.32+1.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.77+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.40-0.41vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-0.43+4.69vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University0.68+1.19vs Predicted
-
7Sacred Heart University0.00+1.46vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57+1.88vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.04-4.69vs Predicted
-
10Washington College0.80-3.15vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.51-1.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+0.01vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy-0.89-2.38vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
-
3.6Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.73University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
-
3.59Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
-
9.69Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.19Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.46Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
-
9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
-
4.31Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.85Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.88Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
12.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
-
12.02SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 42.6% | 24.7% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 13.9% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 13.8% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Godfrey | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Calvin Tong | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Dill | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Wood | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Macey McCann | 9.9% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 32.5% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 11.9% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 23.1% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.