Race 11B

jesuit-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tucker Hersam 15.2% 19.8% 17.9% 15.8% 12.6% 10.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Macey McCann 12.2% 13.0% 17.2% 15.8% 16.5% 10.9% 7.2% 5.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Godfrey 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 7.7% 8.1% 12.0% 14.4% 14.9% 13.1% 11.8% 3.6%
Calvin Tong 2.0% 3.1% 4.9% 6.7% 8.8% 13.8% 13.5% 17.2% 12.1% 9.3% 4.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Samuel Shea 12.0% 17.2% 18.4% 17.0% 15.6% 9.7% 6.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 7.0% 10.4% 11.8% 15.1% 15.6% 15.3% 11.5% 6.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christine Klingler 43.3% 25.8% 16.0% 9.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Dill 1.5% 1.5% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 6.6% 10.6% 11.3% 14.4% 14.5% 12.9% 7.4% 5.6% 1.8%
Gaura Mudgal 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 3.4% 4.8% 4.8% 7.7% 14.0% 21.2% 38.3%
Ryan Wood 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 6.6% 8.1% 13.0% 14.2% 13.7% 15.7% 12.8% 5.7%
Jennifer Suter 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 4.1% 5.9% 9.4% 12.4% 14.2% 17.4% 15.4% 13.4%
William Sunkler 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 6.9% 11.2% 14.4% 15.9% 16.5% 9.2% 7.3% 5.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
George Kevrekidis 1.1% 1.7% 1.0% 2.4% 2.3% 4.2% 8.1% 8.3% 12.6% 14.1% 15.3% 14.9% 8.7% 5.3%
Molly Gallagher 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 6.0% 6.2% 10.1% 12.6% 22.9% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.