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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+5.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+3.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25+0.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.67+1.51vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.05-0.72vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.95-0.92vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.13+1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05+0.32vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.50vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.95-0.88vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.46+0.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-1.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-5.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-3.14vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.20vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Boston College1.979.8%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.226.8%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University1.858.4%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.4%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.2511.5%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University1.678.2%1st Place
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6.28Tulane University2.0511.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College1.958.2%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College1.134.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.274.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University0.953.1%1st Place
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13.42Northeastern University0.461.3%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.8%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University1.154.9%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.1%1st Place
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13.8Maine Maritime Academy0.151.2%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Wood | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| James Kopack | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 20.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 16.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 24.9% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.