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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+1.15vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.40+1.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+0.72vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+2.83vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.04-0.65vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.00+2.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-2.38vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.43+1.53vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.68-1.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.57+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.02vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.36vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.95vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Yale University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.49Fordham University2.400.2%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.83Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.7Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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9.53Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.14Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.570.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.05SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.74Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 42.6% | 25.3% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Hersam | 15.3% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 14.1% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Macey McCann | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dill | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Godfrey | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Calvin Tong | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Wood | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 23.8% | 34.2% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 11.7% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 37.4% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.