← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.44vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.07vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.78+4.56vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.15+5.99vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.53-0.03vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University3.02-0.47vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.43+1.05vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.88vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.49-1.52vs Predicted
-
11Washington College1.63+1.03vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.71-3.99vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.89-2.17vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University1.71-2.11vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.49-2.60vs Predicted
-
16Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-3.20vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University0.72-1.95vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College0.03-1.09vs Predicted
-
19SUNY Stony Brook0.79-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
7.56George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
-
9.99U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
-
4.97Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.16SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.53Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.05Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.48George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
12.03Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.01Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.83Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
-
11.89Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
-
12.8Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
15.05Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
16.91SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
-
14.71SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Julian Fraize | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| Maura King | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 45.8% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.