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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+5.57vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+6.87vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+5.27vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+4.59vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.89+6.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.59vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.53-3.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.87vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-2.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.15-1.07vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.23vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.62vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.63-1.82vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.78-7.58vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-0.88vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.03-0.21vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.71-6.40vs Predicted
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19SUNY Stony Brook0.79-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.27SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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11.34Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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13.23Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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12.18Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.42George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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15.12Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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16.79SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.6Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.61SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Julian Fraize | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Sam White | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Maura King | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 49.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.