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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+7.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+4.89vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+4.09vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.05+2.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.02vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.25-0.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22+0.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-0.96vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05+0.45vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.46+2.10vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.95-1.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.15-3.20vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-0.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.30vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.67-8.32vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.13-6.70vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.9%1st Place
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6.89Boston College1.979.4%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College1.958.6%1st Place
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6.24Tulane University2.0510.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.5%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.2511.6%1st Place
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7.96Brown University2.226.7%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University1.858.6%1st Place
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9.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.274.6%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont1.053.0%1st Place
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13.1Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
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10.69Boston University0.954.5%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.155.1%1st Place
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13.93Maine Maritime Academy0.151.3%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.9%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.678.2%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College1.133.3%1st Place
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12.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| John Wood | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Kopack | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.8% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 26.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.