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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.30vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+7.16vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+6.83vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.50+7.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.52+1.77vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+3.23vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+5.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62+1.22vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40+1.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-2.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-3.32vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.00-4.54vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.25-1.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.66-4.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-9.96vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.66-6.76vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.78-5.02vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.04-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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11.06Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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13.85University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.31Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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12.24Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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13.98Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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12.6Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Marshall | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Robert Savoie | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 23.1% |
| Tucker Blagden | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.