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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+5.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+2.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.65vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15+5.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71+1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.39vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43-0.14vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.81vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.63+1.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.78-4.20vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-0.04vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-1.90vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.19-1.31vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.74vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.49-4.26vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-6.91vs Predicted
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19Drexel University0.72-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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8.86Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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12.24Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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12.96Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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12.1Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.69SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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15.26SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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11.09Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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15.14Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 7.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Andy Reiter | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Sam White | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| James Gilmore III | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 27.2% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.0% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.