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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.32+6.86vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+1.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.28+4.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+2.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+2.57vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.13vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26-1.07vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.48vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.86+2.63vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-1.43vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.64vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-2.05vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.42-7.56vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-4.00vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.71-2.96vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook1.41-6.61vs Predicted
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19Drexel University-0.28-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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9.72SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy3.220.2%1st Place
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7.93Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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13.48SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.36Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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11.95Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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12.0Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.04Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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16.61Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Wagner | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 18.2% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schofield | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 9.6% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| James Morgan | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Paul Hart | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.