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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.05+5.22vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+5.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.25+3.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+2.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.85+1.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+1.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.97vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.95+1.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-0.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46+1.10vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-2.79vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-3.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.42vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-6.65vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.32vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Tulane University2.0511.3%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College1.958.3%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.259.8%1st Place
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6.79Boston College1.979.2%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University1.858.8%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.227.5%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.9%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.1%1st Place
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10.88Boston University0.953.2%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.677.7%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont1.053.2%1st Place
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13.1Northeastern University0.461.7%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College1.133.5%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.154.0%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.6%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.275.2%1st Place
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13.68Maine Maritime Academy0.151.9%1st Place
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13.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wood | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| John Eastman | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% |
| James Kopack | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 25.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.