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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.62+9.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+4.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+5.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+2.42vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+3.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07+2.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+2.63vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.25+4.19vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.50+1.62vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.00-1.43vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.89-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.87+1.93vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.88-5.14vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.02-1.98vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.40-4.91vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-8.17vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.78-4.24vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.66-9.00vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.04-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.03Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.86Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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11.09Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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13.76Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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12.4Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Bowen | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Ingham | 12.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 19.4% |
| Alex Cook | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Robert Savoie | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 21.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Tucker Blagden | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.