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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.42+5.56vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+1.32vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+4.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.86+8.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+1.82vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.28+1.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook1.41+3.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.35vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.44vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73-0.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.03vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-1.44vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.71+0.33vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.28+1.59vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.50vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.56vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-5.95vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.35-11.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.32Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.11Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.78SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy3.220.2%1st Place
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9.56SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.18Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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11.56Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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14.33Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
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16.59Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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12.5Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.44SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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12.05Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Morgan | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Logue | 19.4% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 10.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 16.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 13.5% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 48.8% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.