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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+3.29vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.26+10.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.35+4.89vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35+7.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.85vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+1.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.05vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.49vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.32-2.12vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.24vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.71+2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86+0.63vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.13vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.48vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.28-8.01vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-2.30vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.73-7.72vs Predicted
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19Hampton University2.26-11.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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12.33Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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7.89Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.97Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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4.95U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.49SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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7.88George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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14.71Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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12.87Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.52SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.99George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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14.7Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.78Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| James Morgan | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter Hogan | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Arthur Libby | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 20.7% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.9% |
| Colin Kennedy | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 23.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.