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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+3.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+6.77vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+9.74vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.20vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35+0.93vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.48vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86+3.72vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.65vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.58+3.14vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-5.10vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.71+0.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.28-6.95vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.32-8.22vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.35-5.10vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-5.80vs Predicted
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19SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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12.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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9.85SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy3.220.2%1st Place
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7.93Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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11.65SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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15.14Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.9Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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14.46Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.78George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.9Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.2Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.33SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| James Morgan | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 17.3% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Raemie Ladner | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 26.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Paul Hart | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.