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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+3.29vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.32+5.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+4.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.28+4.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+5.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+2.69vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+1.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.05vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35-1.33vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.69vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.58+3.83vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35+0.28vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.65vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.38vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook1.41-4.40vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.40vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-5.76vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.71-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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8.19Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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4.95U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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14.83Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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12.28Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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13.62University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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11.6SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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13.6SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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12.24Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.01Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 18.8% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| James Morgan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 23.6% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.6% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.