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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+3.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.60vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.35+4.55vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.28+3.74vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+5.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+2.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.09vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32-0.25vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86+3.09vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.42-4.58vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-1.87vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.76vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.71-1.58vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook1.41-5.04vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-3.02vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-6.40vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy3.220.2%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.64Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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11.13Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.24Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.42Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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13.98Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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11.6Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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18.52SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 19.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 16.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 1.7% |
| James Morgan | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 2.8% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 23.0% | 3.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.