← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.22+3.55vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.39+2.17vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.28+4.80vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+4.35vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University2.26+2.99vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.35+1.39vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.25vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.32-0.24vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.21vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania0.86+3.08vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.35+0.27vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.73-1.93vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University0.58+0.85vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.85vs Predicted
-
15Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.11vs Predicted
-
16Washington College1.26-4.42vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.71-3.45vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Stony Brook1.41-7.01vs Predicted
-
19SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.55U. S. Naval Academy3.220.2%1st Place
-
4.17Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
-
7.8George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.99Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
-
7.39Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.25U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
-
7.76George Washington University2.320.1%1st Place
-
6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
13.08University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
-
11.27Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.07Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
13.85Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
13.15SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.58Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
13.55Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.99SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
-
18.52SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hogan | 15.5% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 20.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 2.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 3.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 1.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Hurst | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 2.6% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.