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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.09vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.62+8.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+5.38vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.38vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.00+3.87vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+3.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07+0.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.52-2.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.01vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-2.12vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-2.15vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.78+0.64vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.87-1.30vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.40-4.90vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.02-4.10vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.04-5.26vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.50-8.32vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College3.25-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.88Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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13.64Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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11.1Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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12.9Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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12.74Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.68Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alex Cook | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 20.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 19.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% |
| Tucker Blagden | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.