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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+4.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+3.80vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.67+2.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+4.14vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+5.74vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.05-1.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.85-2.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-0.65vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.15+1.72vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.95-5.87vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.59vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-4.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-5.06vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.46-3.64vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.95-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Yale University2.2512.6%1st Place
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7.98Brown University2.226.3%1st Place
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6.8Boston College1.979.2%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.0%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University1.677.6%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.154.0%1st Place
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12.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.331.9%1st Place
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6.45Tulane University2.0510.0%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University1.858.8%1st Place
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12.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.7%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont1.054.5%1st Place
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13.72Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College1.957.8%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.275.0%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College1.133.5%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.4%1st Place
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13.36Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
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10.79Boston University0.953.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| John Eastman | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
| John Wood | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 25.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| James Kopack | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 20.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.