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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.17+3.66vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.36+0.50vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.17+1.66vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.34-1.49vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65+2.32vs Predicted
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6Rice University-0.60-0.59vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.16-5.28vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University1.36-6.50vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.34-3.16vs Predicted
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11Rice University-1.42-4.08vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of Kansas-2.42-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.5Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.66Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.51Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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7.32Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.41Rice University-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.72Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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2.5Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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6.84University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.92Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.63Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Kansas-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Bristow | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 28.3% | 28.3% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 27.4% | 26.7% | 23.7% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Childs | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 26.5% | 21.5% | 23.7% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 28.3% | 28.3% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Decker | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 45.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.