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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Catherine Bristow 7.9% 7.2% 13.3% 16.9% 17.4% 18.1% 11.5% 5.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Berg 22.6% 26.2% 21.9% 17.2% 7.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 29.2% 25.8% 23.1% 14.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 28.9% 26.6% 21.7% 14.6% 5.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 29.2% 25.8% 23.1% 14.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Childs 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 5.1% 8.5% 11.3% 13.5% 18.6% 21.5% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Bristow 7.9% 7.2% 13.3% 16.9% 17.4% 18.1% 11.5% 5.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Busch 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 5.7% 10.4% 13.8% 18.0% 17.5% 16.0% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 6.5% 12.8% 14.9% 18.3% 17.2% 15.1% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Walker 3.9% 5.3% 8.0% 12.5% 21.5% 17.4% 15.1% 10.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Dirksmeyer 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 4.7% 6.1% 11.3% 12.5% 19.5% 22.3% 19.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Decker 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 2.7% 4.0% 6.2% 9.6% 11.2% 19.0% 45.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.