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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.36+1.49vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.17+2.72vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34-0.48vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.36-1.51vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.17-1.28vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16-4.30vs Predicted
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8Rice University-0.60-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Kansas-2.42-0.55vs Predicted
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10Rice University-1.42-3.02vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65-3.73vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-4.35vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.34-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.72Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.52Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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2.49Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.72Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.7Tulane University1.160.2%1st Place
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5.38Rice University-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Kansas-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.98Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.27Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.65Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Shaw | 30.2% | 26.3% | 22.5% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 29.0% | 25.1% | 22.9% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 30.2% | 26.3% | 22.5% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 22.7% | 27.1% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Decker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 45.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Childs | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.