Race 4A

owlapalooza

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Catherine Bristow 7.4% 8.3% 12.0% 18.2% 19.6% 16.2% 10.3% 6.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 30.8% 24.5% 22.7% 13.7% 6.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 27.1% 28.7% 22.4% 12.9% 6.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Walker 3.3% 5.3% 6.3% 14.8% 19.4% 19.3% 14.6% 10.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Bristow 7.4% 8.3% 12.0% 18.2% 19.6% 16.2% 10.3% 6.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 30.8% 24.5% 22.7% 13.7% 6.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Berg 25.1% 24.6% 23.9% 14.8% 6.5% 4.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Busch 1.7% 2.6% 4.1% 5.5% 11.3% 13.8% 16.8% 17.0% 17.2% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Childs 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 5.9% 8.6% 12.3% 16.8% 17.1% 19.7% 15.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Decker 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 4.9% 6.2% 9.6% 12.0% 18.0% 44.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Dirksmeyer 1.4% 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 7.2% 10.2% 13.2% 17.4% 23.3% 19.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 7.9% 10.1% 14.4% 17.1% 19.2% 15.4% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.