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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University-0.60+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+0.61vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University1.36-0.50vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.17-0.39vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University1.36-3.50vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16-4.31vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.17-3.39vs Predicted
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9Rice University-1.06-2.89vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-4.40vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Rice University-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.61Tulane University1.340.2%1st Place
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2.5Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.61Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.5Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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2.69Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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4.61Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.11Rice University-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.42Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.06Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Walker | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 24.3% | 29.1% | 22.1% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 30.3% | 23.7% | 24.2% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 30.3% | 23.7% | 24.2% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 26.6% | 25.2% | 20.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Cole | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 37.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Childs | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 23.9% | 27.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.