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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.36+1.43vs Predicted
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2Rice University-0.60+3.58vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.17+1.68vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.36-1.57vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.17-0.32vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.34-3.54vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.16-5.32vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-1.68vs Predicted
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10Rice University-1.06-3.86vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65-3.93vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.34-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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5.58Rice University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.68Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.43Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.68Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.46Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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2.68Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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7.32Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.14Rice University-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.07Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Shaw | 30.4% | 26.5% | 23.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 30.4% | 26.5% | 23.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 28.3% | 27.7% | 23.8% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 25.6% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 24.0% | 34.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Cole | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Childs | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 23.5% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.