Race 8A

owlapalooza

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bradley Shaw 29.5% 28.9% 18.7% 13.2% 7.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Bristow 4.8% 6.2% 11.4% 19.9% 21.6% 17.1% 11.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 29.5% 26.0% 21.7% 13.4% 7.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 29.5% 28.9% 18.7% 13.2% 7.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Bristow 4.8% 6.2% 11.4% 19.9% 21.6% 17.1% 11.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Berg 25.3% 23.8% 25.1% 15.2% 7.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Walker 3.9% 6.5% 8.2% 15.2% 17.5% 18.8% 15.6% 9.6% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Cole 2.5% 2.7% 5.9% 8.1% 14.5% 19.4% 20.0% 16.3% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Childs 1.3% 1.8% 3.1% 4.3% 6.8% 11.9% 17.3% 26.3% 27.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Dirksmeyer 1.4% 1.3% 2.4% 4.5% 6.9% 9.3% 15.3% 20.7% 38.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 1.8% 2.8% 3.5% 6.2% 10.6% 17.5% 18.6% 21.6% 17.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.