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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+1.49vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.17+2.85vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University1.36-0.51vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.60+1.33vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University1.36-2.51vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.16-4.32vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.06-1.89vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-1.58vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.17-5.15vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-4.42vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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4.85Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.49Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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5.33Rice University-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.49Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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2.68Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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6.11Rice University-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.42Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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4.85Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.06Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Watts | 28.0% | 28.5% | 21.7% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 5.0% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 29.4% | 26.0% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 29.4% | 26.0% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 25.8% | 25.5% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Cole | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 37.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 5.0% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Childs | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 23.0% | 28.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.